Résumé du livre
Robert J. Shiller is a Nobel Prize-winning economist and the author of the New York Times best-seller Irrational Exuberance, among many other titles. He is Sterling Professor of Economics at Yale University and a frequent contributor to the New York Times.
Economic narratives, such as the tension between panic and confidence, play a crucial role in shaping behavior and outcomes. These stories, rooted in historical events like the Panic of 1907 or the stock-market crash of 1929, continue to influence modern economic perceptions, as seen during the 2008 financial crisis. Similarly, Bitcoin’s rise highlights how compelling narratives, rather than technical details, drive enthusiasm and investment. Over time, collective memories of events, like the 1987 market crash or the contrasting investor reactions to World Wars I and II, evolve and reshape behavior. Drawing parallels with epidemiology, the spread of economic narratives mirrors the trajectory of disease outbreaks, with rapid rises and eventual declines. By analyzing these patterns, economists can better anticipate and respond to economic shifts. However, this requires rigorous methods and insights from fields like psychology and the humanities. Historical examples, such as Roosevelt’s fireside chats during the Great Depression or Bush’s post-9/11 address, demonstrate how shaping narratives can stabilize economies. Ultimately, understanding the interconnectedness and vivid details of these stories is essential for interpreting and influencing economic events.
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